The Cleveland Browns -- or the latest reincarnation of a new era of a never-ending cycle that began back in 1999 -- will take the field a week from today at Cleveland Browns Stadium to take on the Philadelphia Eagles.
There was a lot of optimism from the frustrated fanbase when the Browns used their two first round picks on a pair of offensive playmakers -- Alabama running back Trent Richardson and Oklahoma State quarterback Brandon Weeden. There was a little more optimism when Randy Lerner sold the Browns to Tennessee truck stop magnate Jimmy Haslam III, and Haslam won over the fanbase with his down-home attitude and football-first mentality.
However, since then, the optimism has waned considerably.
Richardson underwent arthroscopic knee surgery just prior to the first preseason game and hasn't practiced since.
Scott Fujita's suspension over Bountygate wasn't overturned.
Linebacker Chris Gocong was lost for the season with an Achilles' tendon rupture.
Joe Haden reportedly tested positive for the drug Adderol, which would carry a four-game suspension. However, the NFL has not commented on the suspension and it appears Haden will play in the opener.
Weeden struggled with protecting the football, especially with fumbles.
A bitter battled waged on between Colt McCoy and Seneca Wallace over who would be Weeden's BACKUP.
Rookie right tackle Mitchell Schwartz had a great game sandwiched between two miserable games.
Rookie Josh Gordon and second-year receiver Greg Little had trouble running routes and catching the football.
And, of course, speculation carried over about whether head coach Pat Shurmur would survive this season with a new owner and (presumably) a new team president in Joe Banner taking over.
Add it up, and suddenly there are some fans who think like some of the national pundits do -- that the Browns could be the worst team in the NFL this season and in line for the No. 1 overall pick.
Don't add Joe Cleveland to that list. Now, certainly, I don't think the Browns will be a Super Bowl contender. Not with 15 rookies making up the 53-man roster, including a 28-year-old rookie starting quarterback and a rookie running back whose status for Week 1 is still up in the air.
But the worst team in the league? I don't think so.
Like it or not, Shurmur is on the hot seat. The man who hired him, Mike Holmgren, is probably going to be gone following this year (Haslam can fulfill some of Holmgren's job duties as the "face of the franchise.") Tom Heckert worked with Banner in Philadelphia, but some of Heckert's luster is starting to wear off.
Don't think for a second Haslam and Banner wouldn't want to make a spalsh with a big-profile head coaching hire to try to turn the Browns' fortunes around. Shurmur will simply be fresh out of friends.
Anything less than a 7-9 season will likely send Shurmur packing. And, with the Browns' schedule and the new players, that might be tough to do.
The good news is that the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens appear to be getting older and losing their luster. The Cincinnati Bengals made the playoffs with a rookie QB, but they are the Cincinnati Bengals. If half of those rookies pan out, the Browns fortunes could very well be on the rise. Joe Cleveland will predict that they won't go winless in the AFC North this year.
Joe Cleveland will take his customary seat in the Dawg Pound this Sunday and for seven other Sundays this fall/winter to see if the Browns can take some more steps forward.
Here's a look at the 53-man roster and Joe's take (*-starter, R-Rookie):
QB (3) -- Brandon Weeden (R)*, Colt McCoy, Thad Lewis: Weeden will be the first true rookie to start in Week 1 since the Browns' inaugural 1946 season (Cliff Lewis is the answer to that trivia question). McCoy, who has suddenly become a fan favorite, was retained after a solid preseason and will be Weeden's backup. Lewis is a Shurmur project from his St. Louis Rams days that he feels is worth developing. Not a great group, but it could be worse (see McCoy, Wallace and Lewis from last year).
RB (4) -- Trent Richardson (R)*, Brandon Jackson, Montario Hardesty, Chris Ogbonnaya: The Browns kept four running backs because of Richardson's questionable knee. They also like the upside of Ogbonnaya, who bailed out the Browns' running game last year with the injuries to Hardesty and to departed Peyton Hillis. Hardesty was given the opportunity to start with Richardson's injury and blew it with four miserable preseason performances marred by fumbilitis and dropped passes. Jackson, Green Bay's starting running back in 2010 when they won the Super Bowl, will likely start Week 1 should T-Rich not be medically cleared.
FB (1) -- Owen Marecic*: Marecic, a fourth-round choice last season, beat out Alabama rookie Brad Smelley for the position. Smelley was since added to the practice squad, so he could still wind up getting activated if Marecic struggles. Tight end Alex Smith has also played fullback and could see time in the backfield as well.
WR (6) -- Greg Little*, Mohammed Massaquoi*, Josh Gordon (R), Travis Benjamin (R), Josh Cribbs, Jordan Norwood: Norwood beat out rookie (and Weeden's best friend) Josh Cooper for the sixth WR spot, but Cooper was added to the practice squad. Gordon backs up Little, while Benjamin backs up Massaquoi. Benjamin showed tremendous promise during training camp and the preseason, while Gordon appears to be a work in progress. Massaquoi, a former second-round draft choice, could be in his final chance to show the Browns something before he gets let go. Cribbs will be counted on more in the return game and special teams than on his receiving ability.
TE (3) -- Ben Watson*, Jordan Cameron, Alex Smith: Surprisingly, the Browns elected not to keep four tight ends, especially with the injury status of veteran Watson. Cameron, a second-year player, has emerged as a viable receiving threat and could very well be the starting tight end by season's end. Evan Moore, who was given a big contract extension by the Browns' braintrust, was released because he couldn't block and had been beaten out by Cameron for playing time. Dan Gronkowski (the brother of Rob Gronkowski) showed flashes in training camp, but was a victim in the numbers game.
OT (4) -- Joe Thomas*, Mitchell Schwartz (R)*, Oneil Cousins, Ryan Miller (R): Thomas is the best in the business and a future Hall of Famer. Schwartz had his ups and downs in the preseason but should only get better. Cousins is lucky to have a job after a miserable preseason, but his experience wound up saving him, as the Browns did not want a bunch of rookies at tackle along with Thomas.
OG (2) -- Jason Pinkston*, Shawn Lauvao*: Probably the weakest part of the line. I am not a Lauvao fan by any stretch. Pinkston had his struggles last year, but was aided by playing between a pair of Pro Bowlers in Thomas and Mack that helped cover some of his deficiencies. Backup center John Greco and Miller can also play guard.
C (2) -- Alex Mack*, John Greco: Mack was college teammates with Schwartz three seasons ago, which should help the rookie develop. Mack, a maligned draft pick during Eric Mangini's lone Browns' draft, has emerged as a Pro Bowler at center and a steady force. Greco, a Toledo product, is a veteran who will provide depth at other positions.
DE (6) -- Jabaal Sheard*, Frostee Rucker*, Juqua Parker, Emmanuel Stephens, Brian Sanford, Ishmaa'ily Kitchen (R): Rucker and Parker were the lone free agent signings from Heckert during the offseason. Sheard had a good rookie season and emerged as a pass-rushing force. The Browns expect him to only be better. Rucker and Parker are more run-stoppers. Marcus Benard was expected to help as a pass rusher but he is out for the year. Kitchen, a waiver claim following final day roster cuts, is a local product.
DT (4) -- Athyba Rubin*, John Hughes (R)*, Billy Wynn (R), Scott Paxson: Rubin is very underrated for his play. Last year's first-rounder Phil Taylor will start the year on the PUP list, and his absence will be felt. Hughes, a surprise third-round choice out of Cincinnati, beat out fellow rookie Wynn for the other starting defensive tackle spot. He and Wynn will be counted to pick up the slack until Taylor returns -- if he's able to this year.
LB (7) -- Scott Fujita*, D'Qwell Jackson*, Kaluka Maiava*, James-Michael Johnson (R), L.J. Fort (R), Craig Robertson, Tank Carder (R): Fujita will start the season on the suspended list, which will thin out an already depleated unit that is missing Chris Gocong (out for the season). Johnson, one of the brightest spots of training camp, would have likely started for Fujita, but he's batting an injury and his status is questionable. Carder was a fifth-round choice from Buffalo and claimed off waivers. Fort is an undrafted rookie who started a few preseason games and opened some eyes.
CB (6) -- Joe Haden*, Sheldon Brown*, Dimitri Patterson, Buster Skrine, Trevin Wade (R), Johnson Bademosi (R): Haden may still face NFL discipline for a reported failed drug test for Adderol, but nothing has been comfired about the report. For now, he's practicing with the team and is in line to start Week 1. Brown wasn't moved to safety this year and is a veteran presence in the defensive backfield not afraid to tackle. Skrine had a productive rookie season. Bademosi, an undrafted rookie, made his mark on special teams.
S (5) -- Eric Hagg*, T.J. Ward*, Ray Ventrone, Usama Young, Tashaun Gipson (R): Hagg, a seventh-round choice last year, beat out Young to start at free safety. Ward is a fearsome hitter who has battled injury problems in his brief pro career. Ventrone is a special teams force; a rare holdover from the Mangini days. Gipson made the team as an undrafted rookie, beating out fellow undrafted rookie David Sims, who was traded to the Eagles for a draft pick.
K (1) -- Phil Dawson*: No Browns player is more respected and revered as Dawson, the last remaining player from the expansion 1999 season. And, he's proven to be a reliable kicker from both short and long range, seeming to get better and stronger with age.
P (1) -- Reggie Hodges*: Hodges' absense last year from a torn Achilles hurt the Browns, as they were one of the worst punting teams in the league last season. He has had two punts blocked this preseason, but that's the fault of the punt team. He appears to be healthy and at full strength. Hodges will also hold on field goals and extra points.
LS (1) -- Christian Yount*: Yount quietly held down the fort at long snapper after respected veteran and Pro Bowler Ryan Pontbriand suddenly lost his abilities last season (and is now out of football). The Browns have always had a knack for finding great long snappers, and Yount continues the tradition.
KR/PR (4) -- Josh Cribbs*, Travis Benjamin (R), Buster Skrine, Jordan Norwood: Cribbs is one of the NFL's all-time best kick returners, still tied for the most kickoff return TDs in his career (8). Benjamin's speed makes him an asset if Cribbs gets injured or loses his job in both kickoff and punt returns. Skrine is a backup punt returner, while Norwood is a backup kickoff returner.
Practice Squad (8) -- Ronnie Cameron (DT, R), Josh Cooper (WR, R), Solomon Elimimian (LB), Garth Gerhart (OL, R), Ben Jacobs (LB), Jarrod Shaw (OL), Jeff Shugarts (OL, R), Brad Smelley (FB, R): All the rookies but Smelley were undrafted rookies. Shugarts, an Ohio State product, Gerhart and Shaw might have made the team if not for the overall inexperience on the offensive line. Smelley was a seventh-round choice who played well. Cooper displayed good hands and good route-running.
PUP (1) -- Phil Taylor (DT): Taylor will miss a minimum of six games with a torn pec muscle suffered in February. The Browns are hopeful he can return before the end of the season. They'll need him.
Injured Reserve (6) -- Emmanuel Acho (LB, R), Marcus Benard (DE), Auston English (DE), Chris Gocong (LB), Antwuan Reed (DB, R), Eddie Williams (FB): Gocong's injury will be the one that hurts the Browns the most. The rest are bit players who might have been lucky to make the roster. Benard and English were contributors last season, while Acho was a fifth-round draft choice out of Texas.
There's your Browns 2012 Opening Day roster. Hopefully, they can exceed expectations, because nobody has any positive expecations for these guys at all.
Joe Cleveland will predict 6-10, provided Richardson returns to health and Weeden develops quickly. Both are naturally gifted athletes for their respective positions and the team will go as far as they can take them.
***
Remember back in May, when Indians fans were fiercly debating about how "real" they were? Remember when Cleveland fans were chastised by guys like Chris Perez and some members of the media for not attending games when the team was in first place? Boy, how all of that seems like a distant memory.
Here's a what if ... What if championship trophies were awarded for being in first place on June 1? The Indians would be 2-for-2, and we'd be holding parade's down Euclid Ave.
Unfortunately, championships are awarded in October, and for the fifth-straight October and the 10th time in the 13 years Larry Dolan has owned the Indians, Cleveland will be on the outside looking in.
In fact, while once upon a time this team was in contention for the Central Division title, they now seem to be making a bee-line for 100 losses in a season and for fifth-place in the Central. Not many teams can go from first-to-worst in ONE SEASON! The Indians may do just that.
Head's will have to roll if this happens. Larry and Paul Dolan can do their "nothing to see here" routines until they are blue in the face. However, if they ever want to turn a profit in this town again, they'll have to do something.
Mark Shapiro (who is being called "Red Perm" by fans on message boards) made three terrible trades during his last two years as GM before being promoted to Team President. CC Sabathia, Cliff Lee and Victor Martinez were dealt and the Indians only have one viable major leaguer (Michael Brantley), one decent starting pitcher (Justin Masterson) and a bunch of journeymen reserves to show for them. Not good. During his presidency, the team has continued to struggle at the gate and in the PR department and continue to bungle baseball decisions.
Chris Antonetti, Shapiro's hand-picked GM, will be defined by the Ubaldo Jimenez trade. Jimenez has not been the Cy Young-calibur ace Antonetti believe he would be when he dealt the Indians' top-two pitching prospects for him. Sure, both Drew Pomeranz and Alex White have struggled in Colorado, but when you trade two guys with high ceilings (at the time), you need to get a bonafide star in return. He did not. Also hurting him was the decision to re-sign Grady Sizemore for $5 million, picking up Fausto Carmona's contract option, only to find out he was Roberto Hernandez and three years older and didn't have him for most of the regular season due to government issues, the decision to not pony up to sign Josh Willingham or Carlos Beltran and instead settle for Casey Kotchman and Johnny Damon, and on and on and on.
Manny Acta appears to be dealt a terrible hand. However, no manager can survive two epic collapses in back-to-back years like the Indians have done under Acta's stewardship. It is likely not his fault. However, his lack of fire in the dugout shows a disturbing sign of complacency. Also, he was not a proven winner in Washington, who have turned things around after jettisoning him out of town three years ago.
For the Indians to truly move on, they need to do more than simply fire Acta and hire the immensely popular Sandy Alomar Jr. to be the team's manager. The Dolans need to sack up and realize that Shapiro's act has run its course and Antonetti has been a failure as the GM.
The Dolans need to clean house if they really want to show this fan base that they really want to win. If they don't, the fans will continue to believe they only adhere to the bottom line and will stay away in droves the next few seasons.
It will stay that way until they wise up and sell this team. But, because there doesn't appear to be a buyer emerging overnight (unlike what happened with the Cavs and Browns), the next best thing will be to send Shapiro, Antonetti and Acta packing and start from scratch.
Until next time, remember that Cleveland Rocks!
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